Pelvic radiotherapy was associated with modest excess secondary uterine cancer risk

Twenty-year secondary uterine cancer incidence increased after pelvic radiotherapy, but absolute excess risk remained below two percentage points.

KEY POINTS

  • The SEER analysis included female five-year survivors diagnosed between 2000 and 2022 with localized or regional rectal, bladder or lower-pelvic cancers. The final cohorts included 35,815 rectal, 10,016 bladder and 14,559 lower-pelvic cancer patients.
  • Secondary uterine cancer was defined as a new malignancy of the uterine corpus or cervix arising at least five years after the primary cancer. External-beam radiotherapy was compared with no radiotherapy, with death treated as a competing event.
  • Twenty-year cumulative incidence after radiotherapy versus no radiotherapy was 2.59% versus 0.84% for rectal cancer, 1.46% versus 0.41% for bladder cancer and 2.30% versus 0.80% for lower-pelvic cancers.
  • Despite large relative differences, the corresponding absolute excess risks were only 1.75, 0.99 and 1.50 percentage points, respectively. Secondary uterine cancer developed in 211 versus 116 rectal, 5 versus 30 bladder and 95 versus 40 lower-pelvic cancer survivors in the radiotherapy and non-radiotherapy groups.
  • In multivariable competing-risk analyses, radiotherapy remained independently associated with secondary uterine cancer after rectal cancer (hazard ratio 2.17; 95% confidence interval, 1.49–3.15) and bladder cancer (2.82; 95% confidence interval, 1.06–7.48), but not after lower-pelvic cancer.
  • Excess risk was driven predominantly by uterine corpus rather than cervical cancer. Standardized incidence ratios after radiotherapy were 3.04 for rectal cancer, 3.19 for bladder cancer and 2.69 for lower-pelvic cancers compared with the general population.
  • Risk was delayed, with secondary cancers appearing most commonly at approximately 90 months. The rectal-cancer hazard ratio peaked at 3.93 during 120–179 months, while the bladder estimate reached 5.34 during the same interval, although only five radiotherapy-associated bladder events occurred.

CLINICAL TAKEAWAY

These findings should not alter an otherwise appropriate indication for pelvic radiotherapy: the absolute excess risk was small and the analysis cannot demonstrate causality. Uterine exposure deserves attention during planning for younger patients expected to survive long term, but SEER lacks dose, field, fractionation, technique, reproductive factors and major clinical confounders.

SOURCE

Radiotherapy and Oncology